Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 3.828270 4.083563 4.355278 4.667370 5.017666 5.400755 5.854212
2025-09-28 3.386806 3.737679 4.133123 4.617049 5.200744 5.892175 6.789220
2025-10-05 3.132534 3.535658 4.007855 4.611986 5.380191 6.348145 7.702265
2025-10-12 2.988838 3.435957 3.976693 4.695298 5.652797 6.930052 8.853094
2025-10-19 2.868651 3.347888 3.943073 4.760100 5.894478 7.488716 10.065083
2025-10-26 2.747589 3.245836 3.878181 4.769973 6.052522 7.940206 11.198251
2025-11-02 2.610881 3.112645 3.759985 4.692120 6.070386 8.176383 12.019389
2025-11-09 2.476559 2.973690 3.623389 4.574586 6.013074 8.280651 12.622097
2025-11-16 2.373974 2.870570 3.527893 4.506338 6.020220 8.484973 13.453539
2025-11-23 2.314840 2.821886 3.503077 4.537084 6.181422 8.967139 14.966395
2025-11-30 2.256416 2.770630 3.470701 4.552422 6.316835 9.421005 16.560090
2025-12-07 2.155269 2.655997 3.342268 4.412238 6.180330 9.352983 16.913818
2025-12-14 2.074213 2.568090 3.250865 4.327998 6.138834 9.475611 17.829169
2025-12-21 2.010272 2.501717 3.187644 4.283998 6.163184 9.732939 19.209413
2025-12-28 1.962202 2.455536 3.151307 4.279546 6.255686 10.142503 21.209205
2026-01-04 1.938599 2.442865 3.163378 4.353239 6.496146 10.909370 24.770253
2026-01-11 1.912171 2.424735 3.165847 4.410490 6.711468 11.666204 28.896178
2026-01-18 1.875355 2.389874 3.140852 4.419206 6.833463 12.230066 32.789996
2026-01-25 1.822167 2.329081 3.073212 4.350430 6.794658 12.389021 35.040385
2026-02-01 1.763570 2.258561 2.987884 4.246434 6.675886 12.324388 36.172668
2026-02-08 1.718097 2.206223 2.929128 4.185955 6.641662 12.479635 38.690944
2026-02-15 1.694945 2.186362 2.920490 4.213210 6.792445 13.169265 45.294855
2026-02-22 1.669923 2.162812 2.904900 4.226800 6.915355 13.812302 52.889752